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Basic Hardware: Innovate or Die

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PCQ Bureau
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Predictions for 2006
  • PCs and servers

    based on dual-core processors will become mainstream



  • Mobile versions of

    Dual core CPUs from Intel and AMD will be released, resulting in more

    powerful notebooks



  • Overall PC platform

    will incorporate more features within the hardware, such as security,

    virtualization and manageability



  • SATA II-based hard

    drives will become mass market



Basic hardware is perhaps the toughest market for any

vendor to be in, largely because the competition is stiff and margins are low.

The moment someone introduces something new in the market, it's soon followed

by hundreds of 'me toos'. So a vendor can only earn a premium on the product

till others catch up. What does that have to do with technology? It's nothing

else but market forces, right? Wrong. In order for a vendor to be able to sell

its product in the market, it has to innovate. It has to spend on R&D, and

constantly introduce better products into the market. Not only that, but the

vendor has to innovate quickly in order to remain visible in the market. The end

result is that you get to hear of so many technologies and see such variety in

the market.

To give you an idea of what we mean, we'll narrate an

experience. We visited



Taiwan




early this year to see Gigabyte's manufacturing facilities. There we found

that Gigabyte has gone far beyond being a motherboard manufacturing company, and

put its fingers in many other pies. These included PCs, Servers, notebooks,

graphics cards, mouse, wireless devices, optical drives, networking equipment

and several others. Some of these like PCs, servers and graphics cards were

there much earlier, but others like mouse and wireless devices are new. It was

amazing to see such diversity being introduced from a company that was purely

known for its motherboards. But if you'll notice, you'll find this trend of

product portfolio expansion across most hardware manufacturers. Graphics

maestros nVidia and ATi for instance, have also gotten into the motherboards

market in addition to being in the graphics cards business. They're also

pushing their graphics technology inside other products as well, including

consumer electronics devices and digital gadgets. Hard drive manufacturers are

not moving beyond their products, but are doing enough innovation in their own

stream and going to newer markets. So besides being inside a PC or server, a

hard drive today can be inside consumer electronics devices, digital devices,

automobiles, NAS boxes and much more. Hard drive manufacturers are introducing

more innovative ways of selling their hard drives. Their capacities have already

reached half a Terabyte on one side, while on the other their form factor is

becoming small enough to fit inside a pocket.

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Milestones '05
April May June October November
AMD introduced its dual-core solutions portfolio for servers and workstations; ships samples of dual-core for desktop to select OEMs worldwide. ATI announces CrossFire multi-card graphics capability, in response to nVidia's SLI-based graphics cards. Both technologies set a new standard for gaming, featuring far better graphics quality and performance. TAMD announces its Turion 64 mobile technology for notebooks. Intel announces first dual-core, Hyperthreaded Xeon Processor. AMD opens its CPU manufacturing facility, Fab 36 in Dresden, Germany; expects to double its microprocessor shipments to 100 million units by 2007. Intel announces its P4 processors with virtualization technology, allowing PCs to host multiple Operating Systems in different partitions. 

All this action obviously translates to greater variety and

more competitive pricing for consumers. Take motherboards for instance, there

was a time when one could clearly distinguish between expensive and cheap

motherboards. For instance, Asus and Gigabyte motherboards were expensive, while

Mercury and Tomato were cheap, and Intel was somewhere in between. Now, you see

everybody selling everything, starting from Rs 3.5-4K and going beyond Rs 10K.

The trend now is to build highly feature-rich motherboards, with lots of

functions onboard, whether it's 7-channel surround sound, Gigabit Ethernet,

WiFi, RAID or FireWire ports. While this trend is good for consumers, it's

also forcing the component manufacturers to innovate further so their products

don't become redundant. So even though you can get 7-channels onboard audio,

you'll find sound cards with even more compelling features, such as the

Creative X-Fi. Speaking of compelling, lots of compelling technologies were

introduced this year with equally compelling applications. Let's get into them

and see their impact, now and for the next year.

Hit or

Miss

Creative X-Fi



Though motherboards are increasingly putting everything onboard, component manufacturers keep coming out with more compelling products you'd drool to buy. The Creative X-Fi for instance, has features that give your PC theatre-class audio quality (paired with the right set of speakers of course), audio creation capabilities, and an internal drive bay with connectors for audio creation, headphones, and PC gaming. Who'd care about 7-channel onboard sound then? 

Acer Altos Server 



The trend amongst server manufacturers is to ship dual-core servers, instead of dual-CPU. According to server manufacturers like Acer, the performance remains the same. Both Intel and AMD have introduced dual-core processors for both desktops as well as servers. Next year, you should find servers with dual-core CPUs. The impact-a server with two CPU sockets that are filled with dual-core processors will actually mean a four-way server!

SLI based gaming machines 



Nvidia's Scalable Link Interface Technology, or SLI based machines kicked into action this year. The technology allows multiple GPUs to be placed on the same motherboard, thereby literally doubling the performance. We reviewed the first one to be launched in India in June this year. The machine from Zebronics featured two GeForce 6800GTX cards as shown below.

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Key innovations and their impact



Several key innovations took place this year, which will define the IT

landscape for next year. We'll start with graphics, and major focus this year

has been to have multi-GPU solutions, ie, putting multiple graphics cards in the

same machine and making them work together. This started with the introduction

of SLI, or Scalable Link Interface technology by nVidia. With SLI, you could

take two nVidia graphics cards and place them both in a SLI-ready motherboard.

Both graphics cards would work together, thereby literally doubling the

performance. Soon afterwards, ATI introduced its CrossFire multi-GPU technology.

The big deal about this one was that people who already had certain ATI Radeon

cards could buy another CrossFire Edition card and use the two together. This

saved them the cost of buying another card. Since both SLI and CrossFire are

relatively new, only gaming freaks with very deep pockets can afford them. But

going by the trend in the hardware segment, that shouldn't be the case for too

long. Next year, they'll become common and something better will emerge. What

will it be next? Multi-core GPUs? You never know!

Speaking of multi-core, Intel and AMD both introducing

their dual-core processors this year, called Pentium D and X2 respectively.

Multi-core technology as such is nothing new. It's been there inside

RISC-based processors, such as those from IBM and Sun, which power high-end

servers. But with Intel and AMD also jumping into the multi-core bandwagon, the

technology has now reached desktops, which is worth noticing. By next year, one

should see dual-core CPUs completely taking over from single core. The advantage

of course is much better performance, especially when doing multi-tasking.

Moreover, both Intel and AMD have also introduced their multi-core technology

into their server CPUs, Namely the Xeon and Opteron, and the first servers based

on this technology have already started shipping (see the Acer Altos server

review in this month's shootout). Like desktops, most server manufacturers are

likely to replace their dual-CPU offerings with dual-core ones by next year.

We're not through with CPUs yet. The mobile processors

for notebooks are also expected to switch to dual core next year, resulting in

much more powerful notebooks.

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Many other technologies have entered the CPU this year

besides dual-core, which will make the processors more powerful and yet less

power hungry. The significant one to remember for the next year is

virtualization. Processors with virtualization will allow multiple



OSs




to be run on the same machine in multiple partitions. So far this was possible

only through specialized software such as VMWare and MS Virtual PC/Server.

Virtualization technology as such has become quite popular in organizations

these days. Support for it on hardware will give it a further boost. So a

network administrator could now put multiple



OSs




on a single machine, with one for the user, another to do security checks, and

a third to do inventory, without taking a toll on the performance.

As you can imagine, the clock speed battles in CPUs are

long over. Now it's all about adding other features into the CPU, not only for

higher performance, but



better manageability, security and power savings.

Overall, we're seeing efforts from everyone in the

hardware industry to improve the end-user experience through better products,

which is a really good sign. The PC range for instance widened considerably this

year. We saw several vendors intorduce PCs in the 10-12K range. Another range

that was hot were MediaCenter based machines, which can act as a complete

entertainment center at home. Servers are also following a similar pattern, and

becoming more of a commodity than a special device. Today, you can go and pick

up an entry-level server for less than 60K.

We finally realized this year that while technology is

definitely important, its application is even more important, and we'll see

that focus increase in the coming year.

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